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Cake day: November 7th, 2025

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  • China can’t offer us fertilizer or gas. For Europe, that comes out from Russia, Belarus or the Middle East. Among these, I’d pick the Middle East, but that’s going to put us on a collision course with the United States and Israel. Which I think is overdue, but we shouldn’t underestimate it or gloss it over.

    I’m not saying we can’t do more with solar and wind, but I’d much rather see solar and wind in Africa rather than Europe. Global warming is global. Half of all jet fuel is used for cooking. The obvious fix is to provide solar panels to rural communities, rather than install them onto brick house rooftops in European suburbs.

    But overall, I agree. We need diverse energy sources, and we absolutely should do more on sustainable agriculture. Having a slightly larger proportion of the work force in agriculture is absolutely fine.


  • That’s wishful thinking and not feasible. Of course we should speed up adoption of fossil-free electricity for many reasons, security being one of them, but:

    • You (and your air force) can’t fly without fossil fuels
    • Your trucks can’t haul without fossil fuels (batteries don’t work, trucks get too heavy and damage roads)
    • Your tractors can’t work the fields without fossil fuels
    • Your plants won’t grow without sulfur, phosphorus and potassium additives
    • Your ships don’t run without fossil fuels
    • Your medical imaging doesn’t work without helium, there’s absolutely no other alternative
    • You can’t purge your advanced labs (rocket engineering, biotech, chips) without helium
    • Your pharmaceuticals need oil-derived precursors, all of your plastics including medical devices rely on oil

    The most disastrous of these is the fertilizer. People tend to think that you put a seed in dirt and food just grows, forgetting that famines were widespread before the Haber-Bosch process. We went from approximately >50% of people working in agriculture to <1% since the invention of the Haber-Bosch process, and it absolutely hinges on that.

    What Europe needs to do is to blockade and sanction Israel until they withdraw from their illegal settlements and unilaterally stop all of their wars. We need to make it clear to the United States in no uncertain terms to fuck off out of the Persian Gulf, and if they don’t we need to be ready for military action against the United States.

    I’d also add that Europe is already roughly at max capacity for Solar and Wind power generation, which are the quick-to-build alternatives. If we want to decrease reliance on fossil fuels more, it’s Hydro, Nuclear and energy recovery from burning waste that’s on the menu. All of those take time, especially Nuclear which is the best alternative in the long run. Oil shortages in Europe will likely begin this summer as Strategic Petroleum Reserves run dry. Then what?




  • So: Israel decided to murder Iran’s true opposition (by bombing Evin last year), then murdered their doves (all the top-level reformists who were willing to negotiate with the West), and - get this - they were trying to bomb Iran’s stupidest former politician out of house-arrest, but this caused even him to realize that he can’t work with the Israelis.

    This guy - Ahmadinejad - is not just grossly incompetent, he’s also a holocaust denier and has been calling for Israel to be wiped off the map. That’s right, when Americans/Israelis complain that Iran has been calling for wiping Israel off the map, they mean mother fucking Ahmadinejad. And he’s the guy they wanted to put in charge. And it’s easy to see why - they don’t want peace, they want chaos and a failed state.

    While Iranian leadership is generally not antisemitic, Ahmadinejad is a moron and a buffoon and likely also an actual antisemite (not quite sure, he might just be so stupid that he thinks that fronting like an antisemite might make him look tough). No camp respects him, and he would not have been able to lead a government even if Israel didn’t botch their plan.


  • As an Iranian I want to be very clear that Iran’s position is that the USA is the problem. Not Trump and definitely not Netanyahu.

    Americans debate whether Israel is “wagging the dog”, as though America is the dog being controlled by its tail (Israel). Iranians think of the relationship as: hostile owner (America) of a rabid attack dog that it can barely control (Israel). But it’s the owner who’s responsible, not the dog.

    I know that some Iranians that participate in English-speaking media play along with the American narrative that Israel is controlling the United States. That’s manipulative propaganda on their part. It’s designed to confuse Americans and weaken the USA, while playing along with or at least not contradicting the narratives that Americans tell themselves. It’s for US consumption, not what they believe.

    Internally in Iran these ideas have no traction. They see Israel as an imperialist tool to destabilize the Middle East, which is the geopolitically most important region on the planet and must not be allowed self-determination lest the empire be doomed. It’s a vestige of the British Empire, inherited by the USA.

    Make of this what you will.