• apftwb@lemmy.world
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    3 months ago

    Oil companies and oil tanker crews are subject to the same fog of war as everyone else. They don’t know if there are mines. They don’t know if they can trust the US government to protect them or pay out the insurance. They have seen US bases get bombed. They don’t know if the US is lying or not because trust in the US is at an all time low.

    It doesn’t matter if the strait is mined or not, because the perception the strait could be mined is enough. It is simply not worth the risk.

    Edit: lmao nevermind. 3 ships just tried running the blockade. Emphasis on tried

    • Paragone@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      Tanker-insurance is impossible to get, now, therefore there simply won’t be any ships going through, until that gets remedied.

      & it won’t get remedied until MUCH more than “an assertion that it’s clear” is in-place.

      https://shanakaanslemperera.substack.com/p/actuarial-warfare-how-seven-insurance

      It’s going to be 1/4y MINIMUM before ships begin going through, again, from the looks of that…

      maybe closer to a year.

      Dominoes got BIG, thanks to the economic-rules underpinning everything in industry…

      _ /\ _

      • Echo Dot@feddit.uk
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        3 months ago

        If only this wall could have been prevented. Sadly that was impossible since the US started it for no reason at all, oh wait.

  • Paragone@lemmy.world
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    3 months ago

    IF the mines they’re deploying are THAT stupid/primitive, THEN simply shooting the things with a high-powered-rifle, using explosive bullets, ought clear them out?

    I’d had the impression that modern mines are underwater things, unseen until one hits them.

    Those should be a joke/mere-inconvenience ( if shot/detonated before they hit ), if they all float like that, & have visible/orange rust on 'em.

    _ /\ _

    • Echo Dot@feddit.uk
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      3 months ago

      Have you seen any World War II movies? The mines are changed the ground as per usual, that one’s obviously come loose. So yeah, that single mine is not much of a threat but it’s invisible brethren still are.